Our model estimates the true chance of every outcome, then shops every bookmaker for a price that beats it. When the best price is longer than fair odds, it's flagged as value.
Sat 10 Oct, 19:45
Paris Saint Germain v Le Mans FC
Value selection
Le Mans FC to win
Best price 34.00 at 1xBet
Suggested stake: 0.24% of bankroll (quarter Kelly, capped at 2%). Loses 96% of the time.
Log to Bet TrackerSat 17 Oct, 19:45
Lille v Brest
Value selection
Brest to win
Best price 5.42 at Pinnacle
Suggested stake: 0.96% of bankroll (quarter Kelly, capped at 2%). Loses 78% of the time.
Log to Bet TrackerSun 18 Oct, 19:45
Lyon v Nice
Value selection
Nice to win
Best price 5.24 at 1xBet
Suggested stake: 0.84% of bankroll (quarter Kelly, capped at 2%). Loses 78% of the time.
Log to Bet TrackerModel chance for each outcome, with the best available price in brackets. Green = price above fair value.
| Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Books |
|---|---|---|---|---|
RC Lens v Lyon Fri 9 Oct, 19:45 | 39%(2.56) | 25%(3.90) | 35%(2.80) | 39margin 6.4% |
Lille v Le Havre Sat 10 Oct, 16:15 | 66%(1.48) | 20%(5.10) | 14%(7.80) | 39margin 6.5% |
AS Monaco v Toulouse Sat 10 Oct, 19:45 | 60%(1.65) | 22%(4.54) | 19%(5.50) | 39margin 6.6% |
Brest v Angers Sat 10 Oct, 19:45 | 48%(2.04) | 26%(3.85) | 26%(3.95) | 39margin 6.6% |
Paris Saint Germain v Le Mans FC Sat 10 Oct, 19:45 | 89%(1.09) | 8%(16.50) | 4%(34.00) | 39margin 5.9% |
Lorient v Paris FC Sat 10 Oct, 19:45 | 30%(3.37) | 28%(3.50) | 42%(2.38) | 38margin 6.8% |
Nice v Strasbourg Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 | 41%(2.45) | 26%(3.80) | 33%(3.07) | 38margin 6.6% |
Rennes v Auxerre Sun 11 Oct, 16:15 | 66%(1.48) | 19%(5.18) | 14%(7.50) | 39margin 6.6% |
Troyes v Marseille Sun 11 Oct, 19:45 | 25%(4.03) | 24%(4.20) | 50%(1.93) | 39margin 6.4% |
Le Mans FC v Toulouse Fri 16 Oct, 19:45 | 31%(3.30) | 28%(3.60) | 41%(2.34) | 29margin 18.5% |
Strasbourg v Paris Saint Germain Sat 17 Oct, 16:15 | 15%(6.80) | 18%(5.70) | 67%(1.46) | 28margin 7.6% |
Lille v Brest Sat 17 Oct, 19:45 | 56%(1.66) | 23%(4.37) | 22%(5.42) | 29margin 16.1% |
Troyes v RC Lens Sat 17 Oct, 19:45 | 26%(4.30) | 24%(4.10) | 50%(1.87) | 28margin 16.6% |
Angers v Marseille Sun 18 Oct, 14:00 | 31%(3.21) | 27%(4.00) | 43%(2.28) | 29margin 19.7% |
Lorient v AS Monaco Sun 18 Oct, 16:15 | 28%(3.75) | 27%(3.60) | 45%(2.17) | 29margin 7.4% |
Le Havre v Auxerre Sun 18 Oct, 16:15 | 39%(2.52) | 28%(3.51) | 33%(3.00) | 29margin 7.7% |
Paris FC v Rennes Sun 18 Oct, 16:15 | 42%(2.37) | 28%(3.60) | 31%(3.29) | 29margin 8.0% |
Lyon v Nice Sun 18 Oct, 19:45 | 53%(1.71) | 25%(4.20) | 22%(5.24) | 28margin 19.4% |
Edges are small and results are noisy: a +4% edge still loses often and can take hundreds of bets to show. Prices move — always check the odds you're actually getting. Picks are model output, not guarantees. Log your bets in the Bet Tracker to see how they perform for you.
Bet with a plan, not a feeling
