Our model estimates the true chance of every outcome, then shops every bookmaker for a price that beats it. When the best price is longer than fair odds, it's flagged as value.
Tue 13 Oct, 20:00
Viking FK v Bayern Munich
Value selection
Viking FK to win
Best price 25.00 at Nordic Bet
Suggested stake: 0.31% of bankroll (quarter Kelly, capped at 2%). Loses 95% of the time.
Log to Bet TrackerTue 13 Oct, 20:00
Arsenal v Lille
Value selection
Lille to win
Best price 13.80 at 1xBet
Suggested stake: 0.34% of bankroll (quarter Kelly, capped at 2%). Loses 91% of the time.
Log to Bet TrackerWed 14 Oct, 17:45
LASK v Liverpool
Value selection
LASK to win
Best price 13.00 at Nordic Bet
Suggested stake: 0.36% of bankroll (quarter Kelly, capped at 2%). Loses 91% of the time.
Log to Bet TrackerModel chance for each outcome, with the best available price in brackets. Green = price above fair value.
| Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Books |
|---|---|---|---|---|
RC Lens v Sporting Lisbon Tue 13 Oct, 17:45 | 38%(2.63) | 25%(3.90) | 37%(2.70) | 36margin 6.2% |
Sabah FK v Slavia Praha Tue 13 Oct, 17:45 | 27%(3.74) | 25%(4.00) | 48%(2.05) | 36margin 6.6% |
Arsenal v Lille Tue 13 Oct, 20:00 | 75%(1.30) | 16%(6.80) | 9%(13.80) | 36margin 6.4% |
Atlético Madrid v Manchester United Tue 13 Oct, 20:00 | 43%(2.31) | 25%(4.20) | 32%(3.10) | 36margin 6.3% |
Galatasaray v Barcelona Tue 13 Oct, 20:00 | 11%(9.50) | 15%(7.20) | 74%(1.34) | 36margin 6.2% |
Viking FK v Bayern Munich Tue 13 Oct, 20:00 | 5%(25.00) | 8%(14.00) | 86%(1.13) | 36margin 5.8% |
Inter Milan v Club Brugge Tue 13 Oct, 20:00 | 74%(1.33) | 17%(6.20) | 10%(11.40) | 36margin 6.2% |
Villarreal v Napoli Tue 13 Oct, 20:00 | 42%(2.33) | 27%(3.75) | 31%(3.23) | 36margin 6.5% |
RB Leipzig v PSV Eindhoven Tue 13 Oct, 20:00 | 47%(2.08) | 24%(4.30) | 29%(3.50) | 36margin 6.3% |
Feyenoord v Como Wed 14 Oct, 17:45 | 27%(3.77) | 23%(4.40) | 50%(1.98) | 33margin 6.5% |
LASK v Liverpool Wed 14 Oct, 17:45 | 9%(13.00) | 14%(7.20) | 77%(1.29) | 34margin 6.3% |
Shakhtar Donetsk v AEK Athens Wed 14 Oct, 20:00 | 36%(2.81) | 27%(3.65) | 37%(2.68) | 33margin 6.6% |
AS Roma v Real Madrid Wed 14 Oct, 20:00 | 27%(3.95) | 24%(4.30) | 49%(2.04) | 34margin 6.4% |
Aston Villa v Fenerbahce Wed 14 Oct, 20:00 | 55%(1.80) | 24%(4.25) | 21%(4.88) | 34margin 6.3% |
Bodø/Glimt v Borussia Dortmund Wed 14 Oct, 20:00 | 30%(3.35) | 24%(4.30) | 46%(2.14) | 34margin 6.4% |
Manchester City v Paris Saint Germain Wed 14 Oct, 20:00 | 42%(2.34) | 24%(4.10) | 34%(2.97) | 34margin 6.7% |
Real Betis v Porto Wed 14 Oct, 20:00 | 43%(2.27) | 26%(3.75) | 30%(3.30) | 34margin 6.5% |
ŠK Slovan Bratislava v VfB Stuttgart Wed 14 Oct, 20:00 | 11%(9.90) | 16%(6.25) | 72%(1.35) | 34margin 6.6% |
Edges are small and results are noisy: a +4% edge still loses often and can take hundreds of bets to show. Prices move — always check the odds you're actually getting. Picks are model output, not guarantees. Log your bets in the Bet Tracker to see how they perform for you.
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